Skip to main content

DXY is taking a breather.

AUD is ripping into a short-squeeze.

But it is wearing CNY concrete boots.

Oil is a problem for markets.

Dirt meh.

Miners soggy bounce.

EM likewise.

Junk jump.

Yield dump.

Stocks pump.

The US CPI was rocket fuel, as expected.

The so-called core consumer price index — which excludes food and energy costs — increased 0.2% after rising 0.3% four straight months, Bureau of Labor Statistics figures showed Wednesday.

That marked the first stepdown in the rate in six months. Cheaper hotel stays, a smaller advance in medical care services and relatively tame rent increases helped restrain the December figure.

That's a good print with more disinflation ahead via rents in particular.

There may be enough here for a solid counter-trend rally especially if the leak about Trump's incremental tariff ratchet mechanism plays out.

Some of the excesses for AUD weakness can be worked off.

Tags:

Articles
David Llewellyn-Smith
Post by David Llewellyn-Smith
January 22, 2025
David runs a prominent investment blog, co-authored of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut, was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review and was former editor-in-chief of The Diplomat magazine. For years, Damien and David discussed the potential to create an investment firm to invest in the themes that both had pursued independently, and by 2016 platform fees had reduced low enough that the strategy could be invested in without the investment platforms making more than the investors! David is the Asset Allocation strategist, his main role being to drive debate and decisions on whether to own cash, bonds, Australian stocks or International stocks.