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From the AFR:

The owners of Australia's $117 billion listed real estate sector are expecting the market to 'correct' and have kept their gearing to historically low ranges in anticipation of this according to feedback received by S&P Global Ratings.

At event in Sydney on Tuesday where the impact of tighter credit on property prices was discussed, S&P's REITs analyst Craig Parker highlighted how groups such as Dexus and GPT had gearing levels below their stated policy ranges as a defensive measure against a reversal in asset prices.

Most of the REITs had gearing levels in the mid-20 per cent range compared with the low-40 per cent range they had before the financial crisis wrecked the sector forcing major asset sales and recapitalisations.

My own experience has been that after launching the Nucleus funds a year ago with a firmly anti-property bias in the stock selection, I have been surprised by the number of property developers who signed up as clients.

For a minority of these property developers, it has been simply a diversification strategy. For the majority though it has been about trying to: 

  1. get their money out of the property sector
  2. protect the profits they have made over the last ten years

Here is what ASX listed property companies have been doing on the debt front:

ASX Property Net Debt Source: Factset

And I don't know of any that are using the current declines in property prices to gear up and buy the dip.

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Damien Klassen
Post by Damien Klassen
August 1, 2018
Damien has a wealth of experience across international equities (Schroders), asset allocation (Wilson HTM) and he helped create one of Australia’s largest independent research firm, Aegis Equities. He lectured for over a decade at the Securities Institute, Finsia and Kaplan and spent many of those years as the external Chair for the subject of Industrial Equity Analysis. Damien runs the investment side of Nucleus Wealth, selecting stocks suggested by analysts and implementing the asset allocation. Damien started Nucleus Wealth after 20+ years in financial markets. He wanted to come up with an investment solution for ordinary investors that delivers the same types of personalised investment portfolios high net worth investors use.