There has been a surge in the oil price following another outbreak of fighting in the Middle East. The question is, what does the rising oil price do to inflation? In the very short term, the answer is obvious: inflation will be higher. But most central banks exclude oil from the inflation series ...

The most likely reason for continued high inflation is a wage growth spiral. Sluggish wages in Australia, Japan and Canada are at odds with many other countries around the world. At the upper end, US wages are showing signs of moderating. Where to from here? Will US wages stay high or fall back to ...