Globally producer price indexes have turned down quite decisively. China is trying to deal with deflation. There are two main explanations, with diametrically diverging investment outcomes. Under the first scenario, producer price inflation is a leading indicator for consumer price inflation. Falls ...

In this episode, we confront the prevailing fixation on GDP as a sole indicator of prosperity. The recent government announcement of a supplementary statistic to incorporate additional measurements of wellbeing gave hope for a more comprehensive approach, but upon closer examination, it falls short ...

In his book, The Ulysses Contract, Michael Kemp explores some of the innate behaviors, biases and challenges humans face as investors. And what you can do about them. He sits down to explore these and other things with Nucleus Wealth Chief Operating Officer, Shelley George, in this episode of ...

It has been a volatile 6 months in macroeconomic outlooks. A year ago, it looked as if Australia was lagging behind the US economically; a few months ago that narrative reversed. And then it flip-flopped several more times. In this week's podcast, Nucleus Wealth's Chief Investment Officer Damien ...

Extraordinary scenes in Russia this week as a coup put a significant dent into Putin's aura of political invincibility. We examine the aftershocks for macroeconomics, political stability and investments. In particular, we look at the investment landscape for defense contractors, which ones benefit, ...

For the last few months we have been talking about how the soft data (i.e. surveys and forward looking) has been looking recessionary but the hard data has been surprisingly firm. That has started to change, and in the hard data we are seeing sweeping signs of a slowdown. In this week's podcast ...

Vegetable oil prices have halved. Cereal prices are down 20%. Dairy similar. Sugar is one of the few food ingredients that is up (and Ukraine/Russia are not even major producers), but meat is down. At the same time, international shipping rates have plummeted. The Baltic Dry Index is about 75% ...

JP Morgan bought First Republic Bank, the USA’s second-biggest bank failure in history. The Federal Reserve hiked rates another 25 bps to their highest level in 16 years, along with Tuesday's surprise increase from the RBA. Jenny Craig is reportedly closing its operations after 40 years, as it ...