Are we heading into a classic central bank-created bust, following a boom fuelled by low interest rates? So far this has been primarily about asset prices. Is it really a recession if unemployment remains low? Minsky’s hedge, speculative and Ponzi categories are playing out as ...

This week we look at how to profit from a falling iron ore price. The market has been obsessed with the prospect of Chinese stimulus. Finally, belatedly, the realisation is emerging that the stimulus is not coming. Further, it looks as though the entire development sector is now effectively ...

Globally producer price indexes have turned down quite decisively. China is trying to deal with deflation. There are two main explanations, with diametrically diverging investment outcomes. Under the first scenario, producer price inflation is a leading indicator for consumer price inflation. Falls ...

Over the past few months the market has had a bifurcated view. Q2 earnings are expected to be bad, down almost 10%. But, by Q4, analysts have almost 10% earnings growth factored in. So, we are approaching a critical juncture. Q4 starts in a little over 2 months time. If those forecasts are as ...

Steve Keen made a name for himself challenging conventional economic wisdom. In particular, Steve has a focus on how money creation works in the real world, which is very different from how it works in conventional economic models. For this reason, given the recent banking issues in the US and the ...

The Australian investment landscape is dominated by oligopolies. Many of these oligopolies are large donors to both sides of politics and seem to get an easy run when it comes to tax and regulation. Michael West runs a website that focuses on independent journalism. Part of what he does is hold ...

It has been a volatile 6 months in macroeconomic outlooks. A year ago, it looked as if Australia was lagging behind the US economically; a few months ago that narrative reversed. And then it flip-flopped several more times. In this week's podcast, Nucleus Wealth's Chief Investment Officer Damien ...

Extraordinary scenes in Russia this week as a coup put a significant dent into Putin's aura of political invincibility. We examine the aftershocks for macroeconomics, political stability and investments. In particular, we look at the investment landscape for defense contractors, which ones benefit, ...

For the last few months we have been talking about how the soft data (i.e. surveys and forward looking) has been looking recessionary but the hard data has been surprisingly firm. That has started to change, and in the hard data we are seeing sweeping signs of a slowdown. In this week's podcast ...

Grant Williams is a titan of the financial podcasting world, interviewing the biggest names in the industry and examining the core macro arguments dominating discussions. We take the opportunity this week to quiz Grant and see where he sits on some of the biggest macro themes. Agenda: Is there a ...